Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 15.077732 17.043061 19.235907 21.876618 24.987073 28.554793 32.985990
2025-09-28 12.088852 14.517724 17.445043 21.275555 26.219228 32.473349 41.128821
2025-10-05 11.686058 14.703119 18.564925 23.967385 31.489407 41.841462 57.625722
2025-10-12 10.783082 14.045013 18.413610 24.847651 34.359259 48.377158 71.567425
2025-10-19 9.591049 12.817045 17.286243 24.131259 34.732367 51.229400 80.403484
2025-10-26 9.057869 12.419161 17.237393 24.918780 37.406185 57.996657 97.164108
2025-11-02 8.323779 11.644385 16.534136 24.583578 38.195576 61.744286 109.407412
2025-11-09 7.675799 10.928668 15.833632 24.142354 38.702755 65.029475 121.521140
2025-11-16 7.152096 10.350444 15.280873 23.860564 39.415609 68.770057 135.511067
2025-11-23 6.616069 9.706668 14.560565 23.202918 39.337213 70.945412 146.621404
2025-11-30 6.241775 9.287245 14.163115 23.054370 40.173307 75.078042 163.490299
2025-12-07 5.744644 8.633787 13.323537 22.024145 39.157139 75.137298 170.221510
2025-12-14 5.256605 7.978450 12.456928 20.908697 37.929808 74.756486 176.406035
2025-12-21 4.905685 7.528275 11.909609 20.339257 37.756453 76.758968 190.061122
2025-12-28 5.075893 7.962418 12.934098 22.881554 44.547326 96.693999 265.886588
2026-01-04 4.969679 7.911347 13.083328 23.711976 47.724090 108.555909 322.657783
2026-01-11 4.667069 7.494609 12.527108 23.036178 47.310274 110.774138 345.897257
2026-01-18 4.572511 7.441092 12.643279 23.779059 50.406497 123.587095 418.279539
2026-01-25 4.354783 7.150459 12.285036 23.462900 50.834933 128.732211 461.755366
2026-02-01 4.142179 6.856504 11.899136 23.046647 50.947787 132.968083 504.125077
2026-02-08 3.962202 6.612529 11.594020 22.780747 51.418900 138.505834 557.239012
2026-02-15 3.756616 6.309474 11.151582 22.160008 50.848139 140.477760 593.274264
2026-02-22 3.615324 6.120303 10.925601 22.019761 51.587006 147.198451 662.280684